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The impossibility of proper scoring rules for epistemic imprecise probabilities
The discussion concerns proper scoring rules for imprecise probabilities under epistemic semantics, where imprecision represents uncertainty about an underlying precise data-genera…
Conjectureopenepistemic-uncertainty imprecise-probabilities scoring-rulesarXiv posted 2 days ago
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Osband's conjecture on the validity of Osband's principle for absolutely continuous distributions
Let $\mathcal{F}$ be a class of distributions for which the assertion of Osband's principle holds when $\mathcal{F}$ contains all distributions with finite support. In particular,…
Conjectureopenelicitation scoring-rules statistical-decision-theoryarXiv posted 2 days ago

The impossibility of proper scoring rules for epistemic imprecise probabilities