5 problems
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The impossibility of proper scoring rules for epistemic imprecise probabilities
The discussion concerns proper scoring rules for imprecise probabilities under epistemic semantics, where imprecision represents uncertainty about an underlying precise data-genera…
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Higher-order credal convergence conjecture
Higher-order credal convergence conjecture.
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Strong sub-conjecture on continuous total ordering of credal sets
Strong sub-conjecture. There exists a total ordering on with minimum and maximum elements such that
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Minimal sub-conjecture on total-variation parametrization of credal sets
Minimal sub-conjecture. There exists a simple parametrization for with respect to the total variation metric.
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Uniformity conjecture for higher order credal sets
Uniformity conjecture. When higher order credal sets contain all possible probability functions, the highest-order confidences converge to form a uniform distribution over the firs…