18 problems
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Brown's admissibility conjecture for power-growth priors
Brown's conjecture. The prior leads to an admissible estimator, regardless of the density and the loss function .
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Prior-free validity-first optimality of the IM/Hsu interval
Let denote the mean contrast and let denote the variance ratio in the Behrens--Fisher problem. Consider prior-free procedures that are exactly and uniformly valid for…
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Existence conjecture for global total exclusivity partitions
Let be a rich loss space, for example the space of all continuous losses satisfying mild growth conditions, and let optimality be defined by a natural optimality noti…
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Minimax exclusivity conjecture for power-type losses
Let be distinct exponents, and for each let be the class of losses whose local behavior near is wit…
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Donoho's conjecture on asymptotically sharp non-asymptotic minimax lower bounds
Donoho's conjecture. A different approach is necessary to develop a sequence of non-asymptotic minimax lower bounds that converges to the correct asymptotic limit.
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Extension of the EPV criterion to repeated multinomial observations
Conjecture 8.1. Proposition 4.2, namely the EPV criterion for the corresponding single-observation problem, remains valid for repeated observations.
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Extension of the optimal FDR-control results to the fixed non-null model
The two-group mixture model has independently drawn hypothesis labels, with each hypothesis non-null with probability . In the fixed non-null model, the number of non-null hy…
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Uniform error-control conjecture for the proposed change-diagnosis scheme
Consider the proposed sequential change-diagnosis scheme, operating over possible change-points. Uniform error control means that its error probability is bounded by the prescribed…
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Conjecture that knowledge of the noise variance is unnecessary for unbounded convex constraints
Variance-knowledge conjecture. Knowledge of is not necessary to construct an estimator achieving the minimax rate for unbounded constraint sets .
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Singh's conjecture on unbounded regret for compactly supported priors
Singh's conjecture. For any exponential family, bounded total regret is not possible even when the priors are compactly supported.
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Correspondence between quasi-admissibility and admissibility for generalized priors
Consider estimating the mean vector of a -variate Normal distribution when the covariance matrix is an unknown multiple of the identity. For the class of generalized prior distr…
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The approximate complete-class simplification conjecture
Approximate complete-class simplification conjecture. Further simplifications can be obtained by allowing approximate versions of complete class theorems, Bayesian estimators, opti…
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Osband's conjecture on the validity of Osband's principle for absolutely continuous distributions
Let be a class of distributions for which the assertion of Osband's principle holds when contains all distributions with finite support. In particular,…
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Multidimensional sufficient-efficiency conjecture for MAP estimators
The setting is a multidimensional exponential family, with MAP estimators of the form described in the preceding discussion and with KL divergence as the loss. Multidimensional suf…
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Shabalin and Nobel's existence conjecture for an optimal Frobenius-loss shrinker
Let be the Frobenius loss, and let denote the asymptotic loss of a continuous singular-value shrinker at any signal singular-value vector…
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Herschkorn's convex-order conjecture for Bernoulli bandit break-even values
Herschkorn's conjecture. The inequality
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The standard-gauge concavity conjecture for proper local scoring rules
Let be a proper local scoring rule, and suppose that can be generated from some concave gauge choice. The standard gauge choice is , and write for…
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Minimaxity conjecture for the generalized Bayes estimator under scale mixtures of normals
Let and denote the generalized Bayes estimators corresponding to and , respectively, and let be the generalized Bayes estimator ind…