Maximum generalized-Hopf codimension in the nonlinear-incidence SIRS model

For the SIRS epidemic model with nonlinear incidence rate kIp1+αIq\frac{kI^p}{1+\alpha I^q}, where p>0p>0 and q≥0q\ge 0 are arbitrary real numbers, determine the largest possible codimension of a generalized Hopf bifurcation at an admissible positive equilibrium, as the remaining model parameters and p,qp,q vary. In particular, decide whether codimension five is maximal, or whether an admissible codimension-six generalized Hopf point exists.

References

Primary source

arXiv

Progress summary

Refreshed
Claimed progress

A new preprint reports a five-cycle bifurcation, but whether five is the maximum remains open.

The problem asks for the largest generalized-Hopf codimension in this nonlinear-incidence SIRS model. The latest claim establishes examples with three, four, and five cycles and offers evidence, but not a proof, that six is impossible.

Known results

An earlier study analyzes Hopf and related bifurcations in a nonlinear-incidence SIRS model and computes the first four focal values, but does not settle the maximum-codimension question.

September 2026 five-cycle claim

Pei Yu, Wanyue Tang, and Yanni Zeng report rigorously certified generalized-Hopf points producing three, four, and five limit cycles, together with obstructions to codimension six. This is specialist-preprint evidence for five-cycle existence, not a proof of maximality, and remains unverified in the scan.

Current status (as of October 2026): Five-cycle existence is claimed in a recent preprint, while codimension-six nonexistence and hence maximality at five remain open.

Sources

Solutions 0

No solutions have been posted yet.