Hillion–Johnson critical-order conjectures for the Shepp–Olkin concavity problem

Let B1,…,BnB_1,\ldots,B_n be independent Bernoulli random variables with parameters p1,…,pn∈[0,1]p_1,\ldots,p_n\in[0,1], let S=∑i=1nBiS=\sum_{i=1}^n B_i, and write Pk(p)=Pp(S=k)P_k(p)=\mathbb{P}_p(S=k). Determine the orders q>0q>0 for which, for every nn, the Rényi entropy HqR(S)=11−qlog⁡ ⁣(∑kPk(p)q)H_q^{\mathrm{R}}(S)=\frac{1}{1-q}\log\!\left(\sum_k P_k(p)^q\right) and the Tsallis entropy HqT(S)=11−q(∑kPk(p)q−1)H_q^{\mathrm{T}}(S)=\frac{1}{1-q}\left(\sum_k P_k(p)^q-1\right) are jointly concave functions of p=(p1,…,pn)p=(p_1,\ldots,p_n). The claimed sharp answer is that both entropies are jointly concave for every 0<q≤10<q\leq 1, while joint concavity fails for every q>1q>1, already when n=2n=2.

References

Primary source

arXiv

Progress summary

Refreshed
Claimed solved

A new unrefereed preprint claims to settle the universal concavity ranges for two generalized entropy families, overturning earlier predictions.

Hillion and Johnson proposed critical-order conjectures for Rényi and Tsallis entropies in their Shepp–Olkin work, following the 1981 Shannon-entropy conjecture of Shepp and Olkin. The conjectures predicted thresholds qR∗=2q_R^*=2 and qT∗=3.65986…q_T^*=3.65986\ldots, with concavity below each threshold.

Known results

  • The Shannon Shepp–Olkin concavity conjecture was proved by Hillion and Johnson (2017).
  • The monotone-parameter case was proved earlier (Hillion and Johnson, 2013).
  • Hillion and Johnson established failure above qR∗=2q_R^*=2 for Rényi entropy.
  • They established failure above qT∗=3.65986…q_T^*=3.65986\ldots, the root of 2−4q+2q=02-4q+2^q=0, for Tsallis entropy.

September 2026 claimed exact range

On September 23, 2026, Haoran Wang's preprint The Sharp Rényi and Tsallis Threshold in the Shepp--Olkin Concavity Problem claimed joint concavity below order one and a two-variable obstruction above order one, contradicting the earlier predicted thresholds. The claim is supported only by an unrefereed preprint.

Current status (as of September 2026): A preprint claims the Rényi and Tsallis ranges are exactly determined, but this resolution remains unverified.

Sources

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