Guth–Zahl polynomial Wolff axioms conjecture

For every n≥2n\ge 2 and complexity bound EE, there is a constant Cn,EC_{n,E} such that the following holds. Let 0<δ,λ≤10<\delta,\lambda\le 1, let T\mathbb{T} be a family of unit-length δ\delta-tubes in the unit ball of Rn\mathbb{R}^n whose directions are pairwise δ\delta-separated, and let S⊆RnS\subseteq\mathbb{R}^n be a semialgebraic set of complexity at most EE. Then

#{T∈T:∣T∩S∣≥λ∣T∣}≤Cn,E δ−(n−1)λ−n∣S∣.\#\left\{T\in\mathbb{T}:\lvert T\cap S\rvert\ge \lambda\lvert T\rvert\right\}\le C_{n,E}\,\delta^{-(n-1)}\lambda^{-n}\lvert S\rvert.
References

Primary source

arXiv

Additional references

Progress summary

Refreshed
Claimed solved

A new unrefereed preprint claims to close the longstanding gap in the Guth–Zahl tube-incidence conjecture, but the result has not been independently verified.

The Guth–Zahl conjecture asks for the full lower bound governing how many separated tubes can substantially meet a semialgebraic set, a principle formulated by Guth and Zahl in their 2017 work. Its conjectured estimate removes the small factor that earlier results could not eliminate.

Known results

  • Guth and Zahl (2017; revised 2019) proved substantial linear and multilinear estimates under the polynomial Wolff axioms, but explicitly did not prove the conjecture.
  • Katz and Rogers (2018) proved the generalized estimate only with a loss of δ−ε\delta^{-\varepsilon}.
  • Later work improved consequences in selected dimensions without establishing the full conjecture.

New unrefereed preprint (date not stated)

Gal Binyamini and Yuval Salant claim the full bound for semialgebraic sets meeting many δ\delta-separated δ\delta-tubes, removing the δε\delta^{\varepsilon} loss, and extend it to definable sets in o-minimal structures. They also claim the corresponding algebraic-variety consequence. The result remains unverified.

Current status (as of September 2026): The full conjecture is claimed solved by Binyamini and Salant, but the unrefereed preprint has not been independently verified; earlier published work established only weakened or conditional forms.

Sources

Solutions 0

No solutions have been posted yet.