Matroid Secretary Conjecture
Let be a finite matroid. The algorithm knows in advance and has access to an independence oracle for . Each element has a nonnegative weight
The weights are fixed in advance, but are unknown to the algorithm. The elements of are presented one at a time in a uniformly random order. When an element is revealed, the algorithm learns its weight and must decide immediately whether to select it. This decision cannot later be changed, and the elements selected so far must form an independent set of .
For , let
and write
Conjecture. There exist an absolute constant and an online algorithm such that, for every finite matroid and every choice of nonnegative weights, the algorithm selects an independent set satisfying
The expectation is over the uniformly random arrival order and any internal randomness of the algorithm. Here is an absolute constant: It cannot depend on the rank or size of the matroid, or on the weights.
Equivalently, is there a constant-competitive algorithm for the matroid secretary problem?
Background. Babaioff, Immorlica, and Kleinberg introduced the matroid secretary problem and gave an -competitive algorithm for a matroid of rank . They asked whether a constant-competitive algorithm exists for general matroids. Lachish later improved the general bound to , and Feldman, Svensson, and Zenklusen obtained another algorithm.
This is the usual zero-information version of the problem: the weights may be assigned arbitrarily, while the order in which the elements appear is random. It is different from the random-assignment model, where an adversary chooses the weights but they are assigned randomly to the elements.
References
References
M. Babaioff, N. Immorlica, and R. Kleinberg, “Matroids, Secretary Problems, and Online Mechanisms,” Proceedings of the Eighteenth Annual ACM-SIAM Symposium on Discrete Algorithms (SODA) (2007), 434–443. https://doi.org/10.5555/1283383.1283429
M. Babaioff, N. Immorlica, D. Kempe, and R. Kleinberg, “Matroid Secretary Problems,” Journal of the ACM 65 (2018), no. 6, Article 35, 35:1–35:26. https://doi.org/10.1145/3212512
O. Lachish, “ Competitive Ratio for the Matroid Secretary Problem,” 2014 IEEE 55th Annual Symposium on Foundations of Computer Science (FOCS) (2014), 326–335. https://doi.org/10.1109/FOCS.2014.42
M. Feldman, O. Svensson, and R. Zenklusen, “A Simple -Competitive Algorithm for the Matroid Secretary Problem,” Mathematics of Operations Research 43 (2018), no. 2, 638–650. https://doi.org/10.1287/moor.2017.0876
R. Santiago, I. Sergeev, and R. Zenklusen, “Constant-competitiveness for random assignment Matroid secretary without knowing the Matroid,” Mathematical Programming 210 (2025), 815–846. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10107-024-02177-x
Progress summary
A September 2026 preprint claims to prove the long-standing conjecture, but the proof has not yet been independently verified.
The conjecture, introduced by Babaioff, Immorlica, and Kleinberg in 2007, asks whether every matroid admits a constant-competitive online selection algorithm under random arrival order.
Known results
- Babaioff, Immorlica, and Kleinberg (2007): an -competitive algorithm for rank .
- Lachish (2014): improved the general bound to .
- Feldman, Svensson, and Zenklusen (2018): gave another -competitive algorithm.
September 13, 2026 claimed proof
Sahil Singla’s preprint The Matroid Secretary Conjecture is True claims an algorithm accepting every element of the offline optimum with probability at least , using only the number of elements and independence-oracle access. This would settle the conjecture, but the claim is unverified.
Current status (as of September 2026): the conjecture has a claimed complete proof by Singla, but independent verification is absent, so its mathematical validity remains open.
Sources
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