Stability conjecture for the Kerr-de Sitter and Kerr families

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Let BΛ\mathcal{B}_\Lambda denote either the subextremal Kerr-de Sitter family for Λ>0\Lambda>0 or the subextremal Kerr family for Λ=0\Lambda=0. Let b0∈BΛb_0\in\mathcal{B}_\Lambda be generated by initial data, and consider a small perturbation of those initial data for a solution of the Einstein vacuum equations.

Stability conjecture. The family BΛ\mathcal{B}_\Lambda is a stable family of solutions to the Einstein vacuum equations with Λ≥0\Lambda\geq 0: the evolution of the small perturbation asymptotes in the appropriate sense to some bε∈BΛb_{\varepsilon}\in\mathcal{B}_\Lambda.

Stability of these stationary black-hole families is a basic requirement for the final-state conjecture, which expects subextremal Kerr and Kerr-de Sitter spacetimes to describe physical final states. The supplied text does not specify whether this conjecture has been resolved.

References

Primary source

Allen Juntao Fang, Jérémie Szeftel and Arthur Touati, “Teukolsky on slowly-rotating Kerr-de Sitter in the vanishing Λ limit”, arXiv:2601.04117 (2026).

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