Char pp Mumford–Tate conjecture for ordinary abelian schemes

Let X0X_0 be a geometric connected smooth variety over Fq\mathbb{F}_q, let f0:X0→Ag,Fqordf_0:X_0\rightarrow \mathscr{A}_{g,\mathbb{F}_q}^{{\mathrm{ord}}} be a morphism as above, and let AA be the pullback abelian scheme over X0X_0. Denote by GB(A)G_{\mathrm{B}}(A) the generic Mumford–Tate group of the smallest Shimura subvariety whose Zariski closure contains the image of f0f_0. For l≠pl\neq p, let Gl(A)G_l(A) be the ll-adic étale monodromy group, and let Gp(A)G_p(A) be the pp-adic overconvergent crystalline monodromy group. Char pp Mumford–Tate conjecture. One has

Gl(A)∘=GB(A)QlG_l(A)^\circ=G_{\mathrm{B}}(A)_{\mathbb{Q}_l}

for every l≠pl\neq p, and

Gp(A)∘=GB(A)Qp.G_p(A)^\circ=G_{\mathrm{B}}(A)_{\mathbb{Q}_p}.

This conjecture predicts that the connected ll-adic and pp-adic monodromy groups of an ordinary abelian scheme in characteristic pp coincide with the corresponding realizations of its generic Mumford–Tate group. It is presented as a monodromy conjecture in the paper; its resolution is not specified in the supplied text.

References

Primary source

Ruofan Jiang, “p-adic monodromy and mod p unlikely intersections, II”, arXiv:2512.00687 (2025).

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