The triggering-of-deglaciation conjecture in the glacial cycles model

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Consider the autonomous system of equations and its equilibria, classified as regular, boundary, or virtual according to their location relative to the switching boundary. Triggering-of-deglaciation conjecture. If an equilibrium of the autonomous system is either regular or a boundary equilibrium and is sufficiently close to the switching boundary, then time-dependent forcing through QQ and s2s_2 causes the equilibrium to become virtual. The claim proposes a mechanism for forced deglaciation near the switching boundary; no proof or resolution is supplied in the text.

References

Primary source

Oleg Makarenkov and Esther Widiasih, “Bifurcation of Limit Cycles from a Fold-Fold Singularity in a Glacial Cycles Model”, arXiv:2511.02143 (2025).

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