The asymptotic proportion conjecture for hyperelliptic Jacobians in dimension three

From papers

Let qq range over powers of 22, and consider isogeny classes of 33-dimensional abelian varieties over the finite field of characteristic 22 with qq elements. The classes under consideration are those containing the Jacobian of a hyperelliptic curve. Asymptotic proportion conjecture. The proportion of such isogeny classes approaches

12\frac{1}{2}

as qq\to\infty. This predicts a positive limiting proportion, contrasting with the vanishing proportion in dimensions tending to infinity for a fixed field; the supplied text does not indicate whether the conjecture has been resolved.

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Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Matvey Borodin and Liam May, “On Weil Polynomials of Hyperelliptic Curves over Finite Fields of Characteristic 2”, arXiv:2508.16886 (2025).

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