Exponential growth conjecture for compactly supported cohomology of moduli spaces of curves

Let gg be the genus of a smooth proper curve and let kk be a non-negative integer. Write Hc2g+k(Mg)H^{2g+k}_c(\mathcal{M}_g) for the compactly supported cohomology of the moduli space Mg\mathcal{M}_g of smooth genus-gg curves. Exponential growth conjecture. The dimension of

Hc2g+k(Mg)H^{2g+k}_c(\mathcal{M}_g)

grows at least exponentially with gg for all but finitely many non-negative integers kk. This would extend the known exponential-growth results, which currently cover every fixed kk with 0k530\leq k\leq 53 except possibly k{1,4,7,20,51}k\in\{1,4,7,20,51\}; the finitely many exceptional values outside this range remain unspecified.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Sam Payne and Thomas Willwacher, “Weight 11 compactly supported cohomology of moduli spaces of curves”, arXiv:2302.04204 (2023).

Additional references

2 papers in this index state this conjecture (2018–2023). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:1810.07715.

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