Positive critical regrowth parameter for self-organized forest fires

Let pcp_c denote the critical probability for site percolation on the square lattice. For a positive integer nn, set B=[0,4n]×[0,3n]B=[0,4n]\times[0,3n] and A=[n,3n]×[n,2n]A=[n,3n]\times[n,2n]. Starting from site percolation on BB with density pcp_c, destroy every occupied cluster connected to the boundary B\partial B, then independently occupy each resulting vacant site with probability δ\delta. If pn(δ)p_n(\delta) is the probability that the resulting configuration has an occupied vertical crossing of AA, define

δ^c=sup{δ:pn(δ) is bounded away from 1 uniformly in n}.\hat{\delta}_c=\sup\{\delta:p_n(\delta)\text{ is bounded away from }1\text{ uniformly in }n\}.

Positive critical regrowth conjecture. The critical regrowth parameter is positive:

δ^c>0.\hat{\delta}_c>0.

This asserts that the spatial dependencies created by destroying the boundary-connected occupied cluster do not make the bulk essentially supercritical for every positive regrowth probability. The source does not provide a resolution of this claim.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

J. van den Berg and R. Brouwer, “Self-Organized Forest-Fires near the Critical Time”, arXiv:math/0412488 (2004).

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