Monotonicity and positivity conjecture for Welschinger invariants on toric Del Pezzo surfaces

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Let Σ\Sigma be a toric Del Pezzo surface equipped with its tautological real structure, and let DD be an ample divisor on Σ\Sigma. For admissible values of mm, let WD,mW_{D,m} denote the corresponding Welschinger invariant.

Positivity and monotonicity conjecture. The Welschinger invariants WD,mW_{D,m} are positive if m<[(c1(Σ)D1)/2]m<[(c_1(\Sigma)\cdot D-1)/2], non-negative if m=[(c1(Σ)D1)/2]m=[(c_1(\Sigma)\cdot D-1)/2], and satisfy

WD,m1WD,mform1.W_{D,m-1}\ge W_{D,m}\quad\text{for}\quad m\ge 1.

This conjecture predicts both positivity up to the maximal relevant number of pairs of imaginary points and monotonicity as that number increases. The supplied text does not state whether the conjecture has been resolved.

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Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

I. Itenberg, V. Kharlamov and E. Shustin, “Logarithmic equivalence of Welschinger and Gromov-Witten invariants”, arXiv:math/0407188 (2004).

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