Cardy's annular crossing probability formula

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Let a=log⁡qa=\log q for q∈(0,1)q\in(0,1), and let P(N)(q)\mathbb{P}(N)(q) denote the probability of the annular crossing event NN described above. Set

τ=−ia2π.\tau=-\frac{ia}{2\pi}.

Here η\eta denotes Dedekind's eta function. Cardy's conjectural formula. With these notations,

P(N)=3η(τ)η(6τ)2η(3τ)η(2τ)2.\mathbb{P}(N)=\sqrt{3}\frac{\eta(\tau)\eta(6\tau)^2}{\eta(3\tau)\eta(2\tau)^2}.

The formula was derived by Cardy using Coulomb-gas techniques in connection with conformal field theory, and is presented as the expected expression for the annular critical-percolation crossing probability. The source does not establish the formula here, so its resolution is left open in this record.

References

Primary source

Julien Dubedat, “Critical percolation in annuli and SLE_6”, arXiv:math/0306056 (2003).

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