Bondi mass limits and mass loss for boosted Kerr stability

Let (γ,k)(\gamma,k) be the initial data from Theorem~, with ADM mass m0\mathfrak m_0 and vanishing linear momentum, let gg be the resulting spacetime metric, and set χ=12∥S∥L∞\chi=\frac12\|\mathsf S\|_{L^\infty}. Let MBM_B denote the Bondi mass defined using the level sets of t∗t_* on I+\mathscr I^+, and let \slashedπ0\slashed\pi_0 and \slashedg\slashed g denote the asymptotic radiation field and metric. Bondi mass conjecture. The Bondi mass of ϕS∗g\phi_\mathsf S^*g satisfies

lim⁡t∗→−∞MB(ϕS∗g;t∗)=m0,lim⁡t∗→+∞MB(ϕS∗g;t∗)=mcosh⁡χ,\lim_{t_*\to-\infty}M_B(\phi_\mathsf S^*g;t_*)=\mathfrak m_0,\qquad \lim_{t_*\to+\infty}M_B(\phi_\mathsf S^*g;t_*)=\mathfrak m\cosh\chi,

and obeys

dduMB(ϕS∗g;u)=−132π∫I+∩{t∗=u}∣r∂t∗\slashedπ0(ϕS∗h)∣\slashedg2 d\slashedg.\frac{\mathrm d}{\mathrm d u}M_B(\phi_\mathsf S^*g;u)=-\frac{1}{32\pi}\int_{\mathscr I^+\cap\{t_*=u\}}\left|r\partial_{t_*}\slashed\pi_0(\phi_\mathsf S^*h)\right|_{\slashed g}^2\,\mathrm d\slashed g.

The conjecture would imply mcosh⁡χ≤m0\mathfrak m\cosh\chi\leq\mathfrak m_0, expressing that the final Bondi energy cannot exceed the initial energy after accounting for energy carried away by gravitational radiation. Establishing the formula requires higher-order asymptotic computations than those used for nonlinear stability, and the source leaves it open.

References

Primary source

Peter Hintz, “Nonlinear stability of subextremal Kerr black holes”, arXiv:2606.28253 (2026).

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