The Chow tautological-generation conjecture for moduli spaces of stable curves

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Let Ak(M‾g,n)QA^k(\overline{\mathcal{M}}_{g,n})_{\mathbb{Q}} be the codimension-kk Chow group with rational coefficients, and let the tautological cycles be the cycles generated by the tautological ring.

Chow tautological-generation conjecture. The Chow group

Ak(M‾g,n)QA^k(\overline{\mathcal{M}}_{g,n})_{\mathbb{Q}}

is generated by tautological cycles for k≤10k\leq10.

This is motivated by the absence of known non-tautological cycles below codimension 11 and by results on holomorphic forms and Chow groups. The conjecture is explicitly described as optimistic and remains open.

References

Primary source

Sam Payne, “On the Hodge and Tate conjectures for moduli spaces of curves”, arXiv:2605.20453 (2026).

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