The Chow tautological-generation conjecture for moduli spaces of stable curves

Let Ak(Mg,n)QA^k(\overline{\mathcal{M}}_{g,n})_{\mathbb{Q}} be the codimension-kk Chow group with rational coefficients, and let the tautological cycles be the cycles generated by the tautological ring.

Chow tautological-generation conjecture. The Chow group

Ak(Mg,n)QA^k(\overline{\mathcal{M}}_{g,n})_{\mathbb{Q}}

is generated by tautological cycles for k10k\leq10.

This is motivated by the absence of known non-tautological cycles below codimension 11 and by results on holomorphic forms and Chow groups. The conjecture is explicitly described as optimistic and remains open.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Sam Payne, “On the Hodge and Tate conjectures for moduli spaces of curves”, arXiv:2605.20453 (2026).

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