The taut 20 conjecture for moduli spaces of stable curves

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For the moduli stack M‾g,n\overline{\mathcal{M}}_{g,n} of stable curves, let Hk(M‾g,n)H^k(\overline{\mathcal{M}}_{g,n}) denote rational singular cohomology, and let the tautological subspace be the subspace generated by tautological classes.

Taut 20 conjecture. The cohomology groups

Hk(M‾g,n)H^k(\overline{\mathcal{M}}_{g,n})

are tautological for all even k≤20k\leq20, and for all gg and nn.

The conjecture extends known tautological-generation results and is attributed in the source to Canning--Larson--Payne. Its bound is sharp because degree-22 cohomology is non-tautological in examples such as M‾2,20\overline{\mathcal{M}}_{2,20} and M‾12\overline{\mathcal{M}}_{12}; it remains open.

References

Primary source

Sam Payne, “On the Hodge and Tate conjectures for moduli spaces of curves”, arXiv:2605.20453 (2026).

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