The bubble-tree blow-up and comparison conjecture for KSBA moduli
The bubble-tree blow-up and comparison conjecture for KSBA moduli
Let be the KSBA moduli stack of index one covers, let be the moduli stack of bubble-tree index one cover DM stacks, and let be the moduli stack of lci covers. The relevant locus in is the locus whose corresponding surfaces contain bad simple elliptic or cusp singularities with embedded dimension at least . Bubble-tree blow-up and comparison conjecture. The moduli stack can be obtained from by finitely many blow-ups along this locus. Moreover, there is a birational morphism
for which both stacks admit contraction morphisms to .
This conjecture predicts that the bubble-tree compactification is birationally related to the lci-cover compactification and is obtained from the KSBA space by resolving the specified singularity locus. Its status is not established in the supplied text.
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Sources & referencesView supporting material
Primary source
Yunfeng Jiang, “Enumerative Geometry on KSBA moduli spaces”, arXiv:2605.19923 (2026).
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