Nesting conjecture for primitive normalized Witten intersection numbers

For g2g\geq2, n1n\geq1, and d1,,dn1d_1,\ldots,d_n\geq1 satisfying d=3g3+n|\mathbf d|=3g-3+n, let C(d)C(\mathbf d) denote the primitive normalized Witten intersection number, and write C(3g2)C(3g-2) and C(23g3)C(2^{3g-3}) for the corresponding one-part and repeated-argument values. Nesting conjecture.

C(3g2)C(d)C(23g3).C(3g-2)\leq C(\mathbf d)\leq C(2^{3g-3}).

The claim was motivated by numerical data for fixed genus, but the paper gives a counterexample: C(4,4)<C(3,5)C(4,4)<C(3,5) contradicts the proposed ordering. Thus the conjecture is refuted.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Jindong Guo, Di Yang and Don Zagier, “On uniform large genus asymptotics of Witten's intersection numbers”, arXiv:2603.15233 (2026).

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