The orbit covariance summability conjecture for Collatz drift increments

Let Δi\Delta_i be the odd-skeleton drift increments along a Collatz orbit, and let Covorbit(Δ0,Δh)\operatorname{Cov}_{\mathrm{orbit}}(\Delta_0,\Delta_h) denote their orbit covariance at lag hh. Orbit covariance summability conjecture. For every Collatz orbit with odd-step density ρ<1/log23\rho<1/\log_2 3,

h=1Covorbit(Δ0,Δh)<.\sum_{h=1}^{\infty}\left|\operatorname{Cov}_{\mathrm{orbit}}(\Delta_0,\Delta_h)\right|<\infty.

The corresponding ensemble covariance estimate is proved in the paper, but the pointwise orbit version is explicitly identified as open and is substantially harder.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Edward Y. Chang, “Exploring Collatz Dynamics with Human-LLM Collaboration”, arXiv:2603.11066 (2026).

Progress summary

Never refreshed

Nothing recorded yet. Refresh searches the literature and the public web for attempts on this problem, and writes the first summary here.

Solutions 0

No solutions have been posted yet.