Greer–Lian's modularity conjecture for special cycles on Siegel modular varieties

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Let An=Sp⁡2n(Z)\Hn\mathcal A_n=\operatorname{Sp}_{2n}(\mathbb Z)\backslash\mathbb H_n be the Siegel modular variety, and let λi=ci(E)\lambda_i=c_i(\mathbb E) be the Chern classes of the Hodge bundle. For m≥1m\geq1, let Z(m)\mathcal Z(m) be the special cycle of principally polarized abelian varieties admitting an elliptic curve as an isogeny factor, with the multiplicities described in the source, and define

ΘAn(q)=(−1)n24λn−1+∑m≥1[Z(m)]qm∈CH⁡n−1(An)⟦q⟧.\Theta_{\mathcal A_n}(q)=\frac{(-1)^n}{24}\lambda_{n-1}+\sum_{m\geq1}[\mathcal Z(m)]q^m\in\operatorname{CH}^{n-1}(\mathcal A_n)\llbracket q\rrbracket.

Greer–Lian's modularity conjecture. The series ΘAn(q)\Theta_{\mathcal A_n}(q) is a holomorphic modular form of weight 2n2n for SL⁡2(Z)\operatorname{SL}_2(\mathbb Z), valued in CH⁡n−1(An)\operatorname{CH}^{n-1}(\mathcal A_n). The conjecture proposes Chow-valued modularity for the elliptic-factor special cycles on Siegel modular varieties.

References

Primary source

François Greer and Salim Tayou, “Modularity of special cycles on Shimura varieties: a survey”, arXiv:2603.01251 (2026).

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