Pantone's 123-avoiding derangement proportion conjecture

Let CnC_n be the nnth Catalan number, and let dnd_n be the number of derangements among the 123123-avoiding permutations of length nn. The source considers an asymptotic form dn∼δCnd_n\sim \delta C_n for a limiting proportion δ\delta. Pantone's conjecture. The limiting proportion of derangements among 123123-avoiding permutations is equal to 9/169/16. This is a numerical conjecture based on the first 200200 enumeration terms and differential approximants.

References

Primary source

Vincent Vatter, “An assortment of problems in permutation patterns: unimodality, equivalence, derangements, and sorting”, arXiv:2602.16355 (2026).

Progress summary

Never refreshed

Nothing recorded yet. Refresh searches the literature and the public web for attempts on this problem, and writes the first summary here.

Solutions 0

No solutions have been posted yet.