Pantone's 123-avoiding derangement proportion conjecture
Let be the th Catalan number, and let be the number of derangements among the -avoiding permutations of length . The source considers an asymptotic form for a limiting proportion . Pantone's conjecture. The limiting proportion of derangements among -avoiding permutations is equal to . This is a numerical conjecture based on the first enumeration terms and differential approximants.
References
Primary source
Vincent Vatter, “An assortment of problems in permutation patterns: unimodality, equivalence, derangements, and sorting”, arXiv:2602.16355 (2026).
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