Goldring–Koskivirta's cone conjecture for Hodge type Shimura varieties

Let Shtor\overline{\operatorname{Sh}}^{\operatorname{tor}} be the toroidal compactification of the Shimura variety, let TT be the relevant maximal torus, and let X(T)X^*(T) be its character group. For λX(T)\lambda\in X^*(T), write ω(λ)\omega(\lambda) for the corresponding automorphic vector bundle, and let W(λ)\underline{W(\lambda)} be the vector bundle on the stack G-ZipG\text{-Zip} whose pullback to Sh\operatorname{Sh} is ω(λ)\omega(\lambda). Define

CSh={λX(T):there exists n1 such that H0(Shtor,ω(nλ))0},C_{\overline{\operatorname{Sh}}}=\{\lambda\in X^*(T):\text{there exists }n\geq 1\text{ such that }H^0(\overline{\operatorname{Sh}}^{\operatorname{tor}},\omega(n\lambda))\neq 0\},

and

CZip={λX(T):there exists n1 such that H0(G-Zip,W(nλ))0}.C_{\operatorname{Zip}}=\{\lambda\in X^*(T):\text{there exists }n\geq 1\text{ such that }H^0(G\text{-Zip},\underline{W(n\lambda)})\neq 0\}.

Goldring–Koskivirta's cone conjecture. The two cones coincide:

CSh=CZip.C_{\overline{\operatorname{Sh}}}=C_{\operatorname{Zip}}.

This expected equality relates the weights of automorphic forms extending to the toroidal compactification to the weights producing sections on the associated GG-Zip stack. The paper presents it as a general expected theorem used as an assumption because the required vanishing and coherent-cohomology results are not available in full generality.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Martin Ortiz, “Theta operators on Hodge type Shimura varieties”, arXiv:2601.11260 (2026).

Additional references

2 papers in this index state this conjecture (2024–2026). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:2402.09852.

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