Conjectural leading constant in the all-height Manin conjecture

Let π:XB\pi:\mathcal X\to B be a good Fano fibration, let λ\lambda be an intersection profile, and let c(X,λ)c(\mathcal X,\lambda) be the leading constant in the all-height Manin conjecture. Let B\mathsf B be the number of algebraic equivalence classes representing a single numerical class. Conjectural leading constant in the all-height Manin conjecture.

c(X,λ)=β(Xη)BXη(AK(B))λBr(Xη)dτX.c(\mathcal X,\lambda)=\frac{\beta(\mathcal X_{\eta})}{\mathsf B}\int_{\mathcal X_{\eta}(\mathbb A_{K(B)})^{\operatorname{Br}(\mathcal X_{\eta})}_{\lambda}}\,\mathrm d\tau_{\mathcal X}.

The source additionally asks whether B=#Br(X)\mathsf B=\#\operatorname{Br}(\mathcal X); this proposed formula is presented as conjectural and unresolved.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Brian Lehmann and Sho Tanimoto, “Geometric Manin's conjecture in characteristic p”, arXiv:2601.09227 (2026).

Progress summary

Never refreshed

Nothing recorded yet. Refresh searches the literature and the public web for attempts on this problem, and writes the first summary here.

Solutions 0

No solutions have been posted yet.