Geometric Manin conjecture on the nef section cone

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Let π:X→B\pi:\mathcal{X}\to B be a good Fano fibration. An intersection profile λ\lambda specifies one generically smooth, geometrically integral irreducible component in each fiber, and Sλ\mathsf{S}_{\lambda} is the convex hull of nef integral curve classes having that profile. Let Xη\mathcal{X}_{\eta} be the generic fiber. Geometric Manin conjecture on the nef section cone. For every intersection profile λ\lambda, Sλ\mathsf{S}_{\lambda} is a rational polyhedral convex set whose recession cone is Nef⁡1(Xη)\operatorname{Nef}_{1}(\mathcal{X}_{\eta}). In characteristic zero this is attributed to LRT23, Corollary 5.8; the source does not state a positive-characteristic resolution.

References

Primary source

Brian Lehmann and Sho Tanimoto, “Geometric Manin's conjecture in characteristic p”, arXiv:2601.09227 (2026).

Additional references

2 papers in this index state this conjecture (2019–2026). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:1912.05121.

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