Extremal-process moderate-deviation conjecture for branching random walks
Extremal-process moderate-deviation conjecture for branching random walks
Assume the branching random walk satisfies the supercriticality, boundary-case, Gaussianity, and peeling-lemma assumptions, and is non-lattice. Let be continuous with compact support, and let satisfy
as . Write for the centering sequence, let denote the position of an individual at generation , and let be the variance parameter. Define
Extremal-process moderate-deviation conjecture. As ,
This extends the upper moderate-deviation asymptotic for the maximum to Laplace functionals of the branching random walk viewed from its extremal position, thereby connecting moderate deviations with the limiting extremal process. The supplied statement is presented as a conjecture, but its resolution is not specified in the source material.
Sources & referencesView supporting material
Primary source
Louis Chataignier and Lianghui Luo, “Upper moderate deviation probabilities for the maximum of a branching random walk”, arXiv:2601.08766 (2026).
Additional references
2 papers in this index state this conjecture (2022–2026). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:2202.01584.
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