The universal property of Baire measurable spaces

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Let BaireMeas\mathsf {BaireMeas} be the category of Baire measurable spaces, and let BaireStoch\mathsf {BaireStoch} be its associated Markov category of kernels. A Markov functor is understood to preserve the relevant monoidal and probabilistic structure; a coinflip Markov category is a Markov category equipped with the specified coinflip structure. Baire measurable spaces conjecture. The inclusion

BaireMeasBaireStoch\mathsf {BaireMeas} \hookrightarrow \mathsf {BaireStoch}

is the initial Markov functor from BaireMeas\mathsf {BaireMeas} into a coinflip Markov category which preserves countable coproducts, pullbacks along coproduct inclusions, and all Kolmogorov products. This would extend the universal-property result for standard Borel spaces to Baire measurable spaces, whose associated stochastic category admits all small Kolmogorov products; establishing the claimed initiality is left as further work.

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Primary source

Eigil Fjeldgren Rischel, “The Universal Property of Measure-Theoretic Probability”, arXiv:2512.15485 (2025).

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