The positivity conjecture for skein partition functions

Let MM be a closed, oriented 33-manifold, and write its skein partition function as an Euler expansion with integer exponents ckc_k. Positivity conjecture for skein partition functions. The skein partition function of any closed oriented 33-manifold admits an Euler expansion with non-negative exponents ckc_k. This is motivated by a conjectural correspondence between skein modules and cohomological Donaldson–Thomas invariants, whose partition functions have positivity and an intrinsic BPS-cohomological interpretation. The conjecture remains open in the source.

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Primary source

Julia Bierent, David Jordan, Matthias Vancraeynest and Monica Vazirani, “The skein partition function of the mapping torus”, arXiv:2511.19139 (2025).

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