Martin's conjecture that real Blackwell determinacy implies determinacy

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Let AD{\mathsf{AD}} denote the axiom of determinacy and let Bl-AD{\mathsf{Bl}\text{-}\mathsf{AD}} denote the axiom of Blackwell determinacy. Martin's conjecture.

Bl-AD{\mathsf{Bl}\text{-}\mathsf{AD}} implies AD{\mathsf{AD}}. Hence AD{\mathsf{AD}} and Bl-AD{\mathsf{Bl}\text{-}\mathsf{AD}} are equivalent.

Martin proposed this after proving that determinacy implies Blackwell determinacy. The claim is also posed as the paper's final open question, and its resolution is not indicated here.

References

Primary source

Daisuke Ikegami and W. Hugh Woodin, “The Axiom of Real Determinacy and the Axiom of Real Blackwell Determinacy”, arXiv:2510.11034 (2026).

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