Nilpotent geodesic-flow asymptotic expansion conjecture

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Let MM be a compact Riemann manifold with negative curvature. Let Γ\Gamma be a finitely generated torsion-free nilpotent group, let Φ:π1(M)→Γ\Phi:\pi_1(M)\to\Gamma be surjective, and let α\alpha be a conjugacy class of a central element of Γ\Gamma. Let dd denote the polynomial growth order of Γ\Gamma, and let CC be the constant in the nilpotent Floquet–Bloch asymptotic conjecture for the geodesic flow on N=UMN=UM. Nilpotent geodesic-flow expansion conjecture. Then

π(x,Φ,α)∼Cehxx1+d/2(1+c1x+c2x2+⋯ ),\pi(x,\Phi,\alpha)\sim\frac{Ce^{hx}}{x^{1+d/2}}\left(1+\frac{c_1}{x}+\frac{c_2}{x^2}+\cdots\right),

where the constants c1,c2,…c_1,c_2,\ldots are expressed in terms of MM, via Lie integrals or Chen's iterated integrals, and are explicitly computable. The claim predicts a full asymptotic expansion refining the leading nilpotent orbit-counting term; the supplied source gives no resolution.

References

Primary source

Atsushi Katsuda, “An extension of the Floquet-Bloch theory to nilpotent groups and its applications”, arXiv:2509.16848 (2025).

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