The refined closed-manifold 3D index conjecture

Let MM be a closed 33-manifold obtained by Dehn filling a 11-cusped 33-manifold NN with a 11-efficient ideal triangulation T\mathcal{T}. Applying the Gang–Yonekura formula defines an index IM(q)\mathcal{I}_M(q). The refined closed-manifold 3D index conjecture. The index is well-defined and

IM(q)={1+P(q),P(q)q12Z[[q12]] if M is hyperbolic,0,if M is a lens space,1,if M is a Seifert fibered space with base orbifold the (2,3,5),(2,3,4), or (2,3,3)-sphere, or a Seifert fibered space with hyperbolic base, or a manifold with Sol geometry,2,if M is a Seifert fibered space with base orbifold the (2,2,n)-sphere.\mathcal{I}_{M}(q)= \begin{cases} 1+P(q),&P(q)\in q^{\frac12}\mathbb{Z}[[q^{\frac12}]]\text{ if }M\text{ is hyperbolic},\\ 0,&\text{if }M\text{ is a lens space},\\ 1,&\text{if }M\text{ is a Seifert fibered space with base orbifold the }(2,3,5), (2,3,4),\text{ or }(2,3,3)\text{-sphere, or a Seifert fibered space with hyperbolic base, or a manifold with Sol geometry},\\ 2,&\text{if }M\text{ is a Seifert fibered space with base orbifold the }(2,2,n)\text{-sphere}. \end{cases}

Here S3S^3 and S2×S1S^2\times S^1 are included among lens spaces. The claim refines the earlier closed-manifold pattern attributed to Gang and is motivated by computed examples, including cases without absolute convergence; the source supplies no resolution evidence.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Daniele Celoria, Craig D. Hodgson and J. Hyam Rubinstein, “The 3D index and Dehn filling”, arXiv:2509.09886 (2025).

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