Quantitative dynamical exclusion-sensitivity threshold conjecture for the voter model

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Let (Gn)n∈N(G_n)_{n\in\mathbb N} be a sequence of connected graphs, with nn vertices, edge set EnE_n, and maximum degree Δn\Delta_n. Let tnt_n be a non-negative sequence of times, let fn(η0,ω)f_n(\eta_0,\omega) denote the consensus opinion of the voter model, and let ωtn\omega_{t_n} denote the dynamically exclusion-perturbed configuration at time tnt_n. Quantitative dynamical exclusion-sensitivity threshold conjecture.

lim⁡n→∞tnnΔn∣En∣=0⟹lim inf⁡n→∞Cov⁡(fn(η0,ω),fn(η0,ωtn))>0,\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{t_n n\Delta_n}{|E_n|}=0 \quad\Longrightarrow\quad \liminf_{n\to\infty}\operatorname{Cov}\big(f_n(\eta_0,\omega),f_n(\eta_0,\omega_{t_n})\big)>0,

and

lim⁡n→∞tnnΔn∣En∣=+∞⟹lim inf⁡n→∞Cov⁡(fn(η0,ω),fn(η0,ωtn))=0.\lim_{n\to\infty}\frac{t_n n\Delta_n}{|E_n|}=+\infty \quad\Longrightarrow\quad \liminf_{n\to\infty}\operatorname{Cov}\big(f_n(\eta_0,\omega),f_n(\eta_0,\omega_{t_n})\big)=0.

The first implication is already given by the preceding exclusion-stability corollary, while the second would provide a quantitative description of the conjectured sensitivity regime. The intermediate-scale behavior is not specified.

References

Primary source

Gideon Amir, Omer Angel, Rangel Baldasso and Daniel de la Riva, “Voter Model stability with respect to conservative noises”, arXiv:2509.02717 (2026).

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