Recursive formula for fundamental models of degree 2n22n-2

From papers

For each nn, let Δn\Delta_n denote the relevant nn-state model space, and let ana_n be the number of fundamental models in Δn\Delta_n of degree 2n12n-1. For n3n\geq 3, Proposition 1 gives the lower bound

2(a1an1+a2an2++an1a1)2(a_1a_{n-1}+a_2a_{n-2}+\ldots+a_{n-1}a_1)

for the number of fundamental models in Δn\Delta_n of degree 2n22n-2. Recursive-formula equality conjecture. In Proposition 1, equality holds; equivalently, the number of fundamental models in Δn\Delta_n of degree 2n22n-2 is exactly

2(a1an1+a2an2++an1a1).2(a_1a_{n-1}+a_2a_{n-2}+\ldots+a_{n-1}a_1).

The proposition establishes the displayed quantity as a lower bound, while the paper says that no argument is currently known proving it is also an upper bound.

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Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Carlos Améndola, Viet Duc Nguyen and Janike Oldekop, “One-dimensional Discrete Models of Maximum Likelihood Degree One”, arXiv:2507.18686 (2026).

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