Unboundedness of the geometric component count of the genus-three p-rank-zero locus

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Let H30\mathcal{H}_3^0 denote the moduli space of smooth hyperelliptic curves of genus 33 and pp-rank 00 in characteristic p3p\geq 3. Let c3,0,pc_{3,0,p} be the number of geometric irreducible components of H30\mathcal{H}_3^0. Genus-three component-growth conjecture. The number c3,0,pc_{3,0,p} of geometric components of H30\mathcal{H}_3^0 tends to infinity as pp grows. Computational data suggests this growth, although the sampling statistics exhibit non-integral behavior for some methods and field sizes; the conjecture remains open.

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Primary source

Thomas Bouchet, Erik Davis, Steven R. Groen, Zachary Porat and Benjamin York, “Heuristics for (ir)reducibility of p-rank strata of the moduli space of hyperelliptic curves”, arXiv:2506.06457 (2025).

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