Geometric irreducibility of the next-to-non-ordinary hyperelliptic stratum

From papers

Let kk be a field of characteristic p3p\geq 3, and let Hg\mathcal{H}_g be the moduli space of smooth hyperelliptic curves of genus gg over kk. Denote by Hgg2\mathcal{H}_g^{g-2} the locus of curves of pp-rank g2g-2. pp-rank g2g-2 conjecture. For g3g\geq 3 and p3p\geq 3, the moduli space Hgg2\mathcal{H}_g^{g-2} is geometrically irreducible. The claim is based on computational heuristics for lower pp-rank strata, where smaller strata are rarer and the available evidence is weaker; it remains open.

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Primary source

Thomas Bouchet, Erik Davis, Steven R. Groen, Zachary Porat and Benjamin York, “Heuristics for (ir)reducibility of p-rank strata of the moduli space of hyperelliptic curves”, arXiv:2506.06457 (2025).

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