Geometric irreducibility of the non-ordinary hyperelliptic locus

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Let kk be a field of characteristic p≥3p\geq 3, and let Hg\mathcal{H}_g be the moduli space of smooth hyperelliptic curves of genus gg over kk. Write Hgg−1\mathcal{H}_g^{g-1} for its non-ordinary, or pp-rank g−1g-1, locus. Non-ordinary-locus conjecture. For g≥3g\geq 3 and p≥3p\geq 3, the locus Hgg−1\mathcal{H}_g^{g-1} is geometrically irreducible. This extends the known fact that H21\mathcal{H}_2^1 is geometrically irreducible; the conjecture is supported by computational sampling but remains open in the stated generality.

References

Primary source

Thomas Bouchet, Erik Davis, Steven R. Groen, Zachary Porat and Benjamin York, “Heuristics for (ir)reducibility of p-rank strata of the moduli space of hyperelliptic curves”, arXiv:2506.06457 (2025).

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