Geometric irreducibility of the non-ordinary hyperelliptic locus

From papers

Let kk be a field of characteristic p3p\geq 3, and let Hg\mathcal{H}_g be the moduli space of smooth hyperelliptic curves of genus gg over kk. Write Hgg1\mathcal{H}_g^{g-1} for its non-ordinary, or pp-rank g1g-1, locus. Non-ordinary-locus conjecture. For g3g\geq 3 and p3p\geq 3, the locus Hgg1\mathcal{H}_g^{g-1} is geometrically irreducible. This extends the known fact that H21\mathcal{H}_2^1 is geometrically irreducible; the conjecture is supported by computational sampling but remains open in the stated generality.

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Primary source

Thomas Bouchet, Erik Davis, Steven R. Groen, Zachary Porat and Benjamin York, “Heuristics for (ir)reducibility of p-rank strata of the moduli space of hyperelliptic curves”, arXiv:2506.06457 (2025).

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