Malle's moment predictions for the 2-class groups of cubic fields
Malle's moment predictions for the 2-class groups of cubic fields
Let ) run through all isomorphism classes of cubic fields ordered by discriminant, and let denote the -class group of . A cubic field is totally real if it has three real embeddings and complex if it has one real embedding and one pair of complex-conjugate embeddings.
Malle's conjecture. The average size of over totally real cubic fields is , and its second moment is ; over complex cubic fields , the average size is , and its second moment is .
These predictions arise from Cohen–Lenstra and Cohen–Martinet class-group heuristics adjusted for the presence of second roots of unity in the base field. The claims about the average sizes were proven by Bhargava; the second-moment assertions are the focus of the paper and, in the supplied context, are not stated as resolved.
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Sources & referencesView supporting material
Primary source
Manjul Bhargava, Arul Shankar and Ashvin Swaminathan, “The second moment of the size of the 2-class group of monogenized cubic fields”, arXiv:2506.05539 (2025).
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