The black hole settling-down conjecture

Let (M,gμν)(M,g_{\mu\nu}) be a strongly asymptotically predictable spacetime, let Σt\Sigma_t be a Cauchy hypersurface for the globally hyperbolic region contained in MM, and let BB denote its black hole region. Suppose

BΣt=for all t<t,B\cap\Sigma_{t'}=\emptyset \quad\text{for all } t'<t,

and

BΣtfor all tt.B\cap\Sigma_{t'}\neq\emptyset \quad\text{for all } t'\geq t.

Black hole settling-down conjecture. At Σt\Sigma_{t'}, with ttt'\gg t, the spacetime will be described by a stationary metric. This is a dynamical black-hole statement: after black-hole formation, the late-time geometry is expected to settle to stationarity. The supplied text does not state whether the conjecture has been proved or disproved.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Thiago T. Bergamaschi, “A pedagogical approach to the black hole information issue”, arXiv:2505.17164 (2026).

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