The black hole settling-down conjecture

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Let (M,gμν)(M,g_{\mu\nu}) be a strongly asymptotically predictable spacetime, let Σt\Sigma_t be a Cauchy hypersurface for the globally hyperbolic region contained in MM, and let BB denote its black hole region. Suppose

B∩Σt′=∅for all t′<t,B\cap\Sigma_{t'}=\emptyset \quad\text{for all } t'<t,

and

B∩Σt′≠∅for all t′≥t.B\cap\Sigma_{t'}\neq\emptyset \quad\text{for all } t'\geq t.

Black hole settling-down conjecture. At Σt′\Sigma_{t'}, with t′≫tt'\gg t, the spacetime will be described by a stationary metric. This is a dynamical black-hole statement: after black-hole formation, the late-time geometry is expected to settle to stationarity. The supplied text does not state whether the conjecture has been proved or disproved.

References

Primary source

Thiago T. Bergamaschi, “A pedagogical approach to the black hole information issue”, arXiv:2505.17164 (2026).

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