The arithmetic point-count conjecture for Berglund–Hübsch Calabi–Yau orbifolds

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Let AA be an n×nn\times n Berglund–Hübsch matrix over Fp\mathbb F_p, with n≥3n\ge 3, and let GG be a subgroup of GAG_A such that J∈G∩GTJ\in G\cap G^T. Assume

JA−TJT=1.JA^{-T}J^T=1.

Let XAX_A be the hypersurface in the weighted projective space over Fp\mathbb F_p with weights wi=m(JA−T)iw_i=m(JA^{-T})_i, where mm is the smallest integer such that each wiw_i is an integer, cut out by WA(x)=0W_A(x)=0. Let YA,GY_{A,G} be the orbifold [XA/⟨J⟩][X_A/\langle J\rangle], and let ZA,G(Fp)Z_{A,G}(\mathbb F_p) be any crepant resolution of YA,G(Fp)Y_{A,G}(\mathbb F_p). Arithmetic point-count conjecture. The number of points of ZA,G(Fp)Z_{A,G}(\mathbb F_p) is equal to STp(A,G){\rm ST}_p(A,G).

This conjecture predicts that the point count of a crepant resolution of the Berglund–Hübsch orbifold is governed by the corresponding stringy trace. The supplied text does not state whether the conjecture is known or remains open.

References

Primary source

Marco Aldi and Andrija Perunicic, “Invertible Calabi-Yau Orbifolds over Finite Fields”, arXiv:2504.16716 (2026).

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