Malle's prediction for twist classes of genus two curves with dihedral automorphisms
Let be a number field, let be a genus two curve over , and let denote the set of genus two curves over . Write for the height defined in the source, and let be the dihedral group of order eight.
Malle's prediction. If , then
This is a prediction obtained from Malle's conjecture for -octic extensions, translating the expected discriminant asymptotics into a count of curves in the twist class of . The source does not state that this prediction has been proved.
References
Primary source
Tyler Genao, Tristan Phillips, Fredderick Saia, Tim Santens and John Yin, “Counting points on some genus zero Shimura curves”, arXiv:2504.09400 (2025).
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