Higher-order cluster-expansion conjecture for the Ising model on even tori

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Fix k∈Nk\in\mathbb{N}. For the Ising partition function ZZmt(λ,β)Z_{\mathbb{Z}_m^t}(\lambda,\beta) on the even torus Zmt\mathbb{Z}_m^t, let LjL_j denote the sum of the weights of clusters of size jj on the even side,

Lj=∑Γ∈CE,jω(Γ).L_j=\sum_{\Gamma\in\mathcal{C}_{\mathcal{E},j}}\omega(\Gamma).

Higher-order cluster-expansion conjecture. There exist functions fk(t)f_k(t) and gk(t)g_k(t) with fk(t)=Ω~(t−1/2)f_k(t)=\widetilde{\Omega}(t^{-1/2}) and gk(t)=ot(1)g_k(t)=o_t(1) such that, for every λ>0\lambda>0, β∈(0,∞]\beta\in(0,\infty] satisfying λ(1−e−β)≥fk(t)\lambda(1-e^{-\beta})\geq f_k(t), and every even mm,

ZZmt(λ,β)=2(1+λ)mt/2exp⁡(mt2λ(1+λe−β1+λ)2t+L2+⋯+Lk(1+gk(t))).Z_{\mathbb{Z}_m^t}(\lambda,\beta)=2(1+\lambda)^{m^t/2}\exp\left(\frac{m^t}{2}\lambda\left(\frac{1+\lambda e^{-\beta}}{1+\lambda}\right)^{2t}+L_2+\dots+L_k(1+g_k(t))\right).

The conjecture extends the range in which finitely many cluster-expansion terms give the exponential asymptotics; the paper proves analogous results for the regimes covered by its methods, but leaves this broader statement open.

References

Primary source

Anna Geisler, Mihyun Kang, Michail Sarantis and Ronen Wdowinski, “Counting independent sets in percolated graphs via the Ising model”, arXiv:2504.08715 (2026).

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