He–Juškevičius–Narayanan–Spiro conjecture for odd planar Rademacher sums

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Let v1,…,vn∈R2v_1,\dotsc,v_n\in\mathbb{R}^2 be unit vectors, and let ε1,…,εn\varepsilon_1,\dotsc,\varepsilon_n be independent random signs, each uniformly distributed in {−1,1}\{-1,1\}. He–Juškevičius–Narayanan–Spiro conjecture. There is a constant c>0c>0 such that, for every odd nn,

P ⁣[∥∑i=1nεivi∥2≤1]≥cn.\mathbb{P}\!\left[\left\|\sum_{i=1}^n\varepsilon_i v_i\right\|_2\leq 1\right]\geq\frac{c}{n}.

This is the proposed odd-nn case of Erdős's conjecture, motivated by the fact that the known obstruction requiring radius 2\sqrt{2} works only for even nn; whether the asserted lower bound holds remains open in the supplied text.

References

Primary source

Lawrence Hollom, Julien Portier and Victor Souza, “Double-jump phase transition for the reverse Littlewood–Offord problem”, arXiv:2503.24202 (2025).

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