He–Juškevičius–Narayanan–Spiro conjecture for odd planar Rademacher sums

Let v1,,vnR2v_1,\dotsc,v_n\in\mathbb{R}^2 be unit vectors, and let ε1,,εn\varepsilon_1,\dotsc,\varepsilon_n be independent random signs, each uniformly distributed in {1,1}\{-1,1\}. He–Juškevičius–Narayanan–Spiro conjecture. There is a constant c>0c>0 such that, for every odd nn,

P ⁣[i=1nεivi21]cn.\mathbb{P}\!\left[\left\|\sum_{i=1}^n\varepsilon_i v_i\right\|_2\leq 1\right]\geq\frac{c}{n}.

This is the proposed odd-nn case of Erdős's conjecture, motivated by the fact that the known obstruction requiring radius 2\sqrt{2} works only for even nn; whether the asserted lower bound holds remains open in the supplied text.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Lawrence Hollom, Julien Portier and Victor Souza, “Double-jump phase transition for the reverse Littlewood–Offord problem”, arXiv:2503.24202 (2025).

Progress summary

Never refreshed

Nothing recorded yet. Refresh searches the literature and the public web for attempts on this problem, and writes the first summary here.

Solutions 0

No solutions have been posted yet.