Triangle moment conjecture for ERGMs in the phase-coexistence regime
Triangle moment conjecture for ERGMs in the phase-coexistence regime
Let be an ERGM measure on graphs with vertex set , and let be edges spanning a triangle in . Let be an arbitrary edge. Triangle moment conjecture. Even in the phase-coexistence regime, one has
This would extend the bound proved for forests to graphs containing a cycle; the source notes that it can be proved under an FKG assumption but expects it to remain true in phase coexistence, where .
Sources & referencesView supporting material
Primary source
Vilas Winstein, “Concentration via metastable mixing, with applications to the supercritical exponential random graph model”, arXiv:2503.07571 (2025).
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