Tight lower-bound conjecture for segregation in the Offended Voter Model

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Let qN=q∈(0,1)q_N=q\in(0,1) be constant, let Z_0^{N,\textnormal{\min}}=\lfloor N/2\rfloor, and let EN⊂Z0NE^N\subset\mathbf{Z}^N_0. Let AN\mathcal{A}_N denote the segregation event, and let β\beta be the function appearing in the model's segregation lower bound. Tight-bound conjecture.

lim⁡N→∞P(AN)=β(q2(1−q)).\lim_{N\to\infty}\mathbb{P}(\mathcal{A}_N)=\beta\left(\frac{q}{2(1-q)}\right).

The claim says that the lower bound established earlier is asymptotically exact. The paper motivates it by simulations showing close agreement for N≥1000N\geq1000, but does not prove the required control of the coupled edge-deletion and opinion processes.

References

Primary source

Raphael Eichhorn, Felix Hermann and Marco Seiler, “The Offended Voter Model”, arXiv:2502.18619 (2025).

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