Tight lower-bound conjecture for segregation in the Offended Voter Model

Let qN=q(0,1)q_N=q\in(0,1) be constant, let Z_0^{N,\textnormal{\min}}=\lfloor N/2\rfloor, and let ENZ0NE^N\subset\mathbf{Z}^N_0. Let AN\mathcal{A}_N denote the segregation event, and let β\beta be the function appearing in the model's segregation lower bound. Tight-bound conjecture.

limNP(AN)=β(q2(1q)).\lim_{N\to\infty}\mathbb{P}(\mathcal{A}_N)=\beta\left(\frac{q}{2(1-q)}\right).

The claim says that the lower bound established earlier is asymptotically exact. The paper motivates it by simulations showing close agreement for N1000N\geq1000, but does not prove the required control of the coupled edge-deletion and opinion processes.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Raphael Eichhorn, Felix Hermann and Marco Seiler, “The Offended Voter Model”, arXiv:2502.18619 (2025).

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