Gauge-independent uniqueness conjecture for STCMC foliations

Let N\mathcal{N} be an asymptotically Schwarzschildean lightcone. An asymptotic foliation by strictly stable STCMC surfaces is a foliation of the asymptotic region of N\mathcal{N} whose leaves are strictly stable spacetime constant-mean-curvature surfaces. Gauge-independent foliation conjecture. There exists a unique asymptotic foliation of N\mathcal{N} by strictly stable STCMC surfaces. The claim would provide a gauge-independent, purely geometric formulation of the main result, conditional on the preceding large-surface gauge conjecture. It is refuted as stated by explicit counterexamples of Brendle--Eichmair in the analogous Riemannian setting; the source indicates that only weaker asymptotics together with a suitable energy condition may support an analogous statement.

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Primary source

Klaus Kroencke and Markus Wolff, “Foliations of asymptotically Schwarzschildean lightcones by surfaces of constant spacetime mean curvature”, arXiv:2412.17563 (2024).

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