Goldfeld's asymptotic rank conjecture for quadratic twists

Let E:y2=f(x)E:y^2=f(x) be an elliptic curve over Q\mathbb{Q}. For a squarefree integer dd, let E(d)E^{(d)} be the quadratic twist of EE by dd, and let nE,r(X)n_{E,r}^{\ast}(X) count fundamental discriminants dd with d<X|d|<X for which the rank of type {alg,an}\ast\in\{\operatorname{alg},\operatorname{an}\} equals rr. For r{0,1}r\in\{0,1\}, the family is ordered by d|d|. Goldfeld's conjecture.

nE,r(X)12d<X1,n_{E,r}^{\ast}(X)\sim\frac{1}{2}\sum_{|d|<X}1,

where the sum runs over fundamental discriminants dd. This is the precise rank-00 and rank-11 asymptotic formulation of Goldfeld's conjecture for quadratic twist families; the source presents it as unresolved in general.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Jeffrey Hatley and Anwesh Ray, “Iwasawa theory and ranks of elliptic curves in quadratic twist families”, arXiv:2412.07308 (2024).

Additional references

12 papers in this index state this conjecture (2009–2024). The statement above is taken from the most recent of them; the others are arXiv:2409.14795, arXiv:2109.00830, arXiv:2108.06034, arXiv:2104.06732, arXiv:2005.07909, arXiv:1710.04086, arXiv:1611.01999, arXiv:1106.3099, arXiv:1009.0287, arXiv:1009.5389, arXiv:0910.4588.

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