The percolation critical scaling profile conjecture

Consider bond percolation on the complete graph with VV vertices, with edge probability p/Vp/V. Let τV,01(p)=Pp/V(01)\tau_{V,01}(p)=\mathbb{P}_{p/V}(0\leftrightarrow1) be the two-point function and let χVperc(p)=1+(V1)τV,01(p)\chi_V^{\rm perc}(p)=1+(V-1)\tau_{V,01}(p) be the susceptibility. Let WW^* be a Brownian excursion of length 11, define its area moment-generating function by

Ψ(x)=Eexp[x01W(t)dt],\Psi(x)=\mathbb{E}\exp\left[x\int_0^1W^*(t)\,\mathrm{d}t\right],

and, for sRs\in\mathbb{R}, define

fperc(s)=0x2dσs,f_{\rm perc}(s)=\int_0^\infty x^2\,\mathrm{d}\sigma_s,

where

dσs=12πx5/2Ψ(x3/2)exp(16x3+s2x2s22x)dx.\mathrm{d}\sigma_s=\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}x^{-5/2}\Psi(x^{3/2})\exp\left(-\frac16x^3+\frac{s}{2}x^2-\frac{s^2}{2}x\right)\,\mathrm{d}x.

Percolation scaling-profile conjecture. There exist constants a,b>0a,b>0 such that, as VV\to\infty,

τV,01(1+sV1/3)bV2/3fperc(as),\tau_{V,01}(1+sV^{-1/3})\sim bV^{-2/3}f_{\rm perc}(as), χVperc(1+sV1/3)bV1/3fperc(as).\chi_V^{\rm perc}(1+sV^{-1/3})\sim bV^{1/3}f_{\rm perc}(as).

This conjecture predicts the analogue of the critical scaling profile theorem for percolation on the complete graph. The powers V1/3V^{-1/3}, V2/3V^{-2/3}, and V1/3V^{1/3} are proved for the corresponding torus result in dimensions d>6d>6, but the role of the profile fpercf_{\rm perc} was previously conjectured and is therefore not established here.

Sources & referencesView supporting material

Primary source

Yucheng Liu and Gordon Slade, “Critical scaling profile for trees and connected subgraphs on the complete graph”, arXiv:2412.05503 (2025).

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