Upper-bound conjecture for Δ-invariants of negative-definite plumbed manifolds

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Let YY be a negative-definite plumbed manifold, let \spcY\spc{Y} denote its set of spincspin^c structures, and let Δb\Delta_b be the corresponding invariant for b∈\spcYb\in \spc{Y}. Let γ(Y)\gamma(Y) denote the invariant appearing in the upper bound. Upper-bound conjecture.

min⁡b∈\spcYΔb≤−γ(Y)4+12.\min_{b \in \spc{Y}} \Delta_b \leq -\frac{\gamma(Y)}{4}+\frac12.

The conjecture asserts that at least one spincspin^c structure avoids the cancellations that can make individual upper bounds ineffective. Its status is not determined by the supplied source context.

References

Primary source

Shimal Harichurn, András Némethi and Josef Svoboda, “Δ Invariants of Plumbed Manifolds”, arXiv:2412.02042 (2025).

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