The sign-dependent Iwasawa main conjecture for weight interlacing strings

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Let [?][?] be the Hecke algebra of a pp-adic family of Galois representations [?][?]. For a tuple [?][?] of interlacing strings, let [?][?] be the associated Selmer complex and let [?][?] be the corresponding pp-adic measure.

Sign-dependent Iwasawa main conjecture. If [?][?], then [?][?] is torsion and

char⁡IH~□2(K,T)=(Lp□)2.\operatorname{char}_{\mathbb{I}}\widetilde{\mathrm{H}}^2_\square(\mathcal{K},\boldsymbol{T})=(\mathcal{L}_p^\square)^2.

If [?][?], then [?][?] has rank 11 over [?][?], and there is [?][?] such that

char⁡IH~□2(K,T)tors=char⁡I(H~□1(K,T)I⋅z)2.\operatorname{char}_{\mathbb{I}}\widetilde{\mathrm{H}}^2_\square(\mathcal{K},\boldsymbol{T})_{\mathrm{tors}}=\operatorname{char}_{\mathbb{I}}\left(\frac{\widetilde{\mathrm{H}}^1_\square(\mathcal{K},\boldsymbol{T})}{\mathbb{I}\cdot\boldsymbol{z}}\right)^2.

The two cases reflect the root number: sign +1+1 predicts nonvanishing central values and a torsion Selmer group, whereas sign −1-1 predicts central vanishing and a rank-one Selmer group. The framework is proposed in the source and remains open.

References

Primary source

Shilin Lai, “Wall crossing in Iwasawa theory”, arXiv:2410.18313 (2024).

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